Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Bristol Rvs
23.3%
Draw
52.0%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.57
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).