Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Empoli
29.1%
Draw
32.6%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Empoli
vs
1.22
Livorno
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).