Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Cosenza
30.3%
Draw
37.1%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Cosenza
vs
1.24
Crotone
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
10.0%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).