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09 Aug 2025 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.8%
Dunkerque
20.5%
Draw
16.7%
Clermont

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Dunkerque

vs
0.81

Clermont

Markets

BTTS45.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).