Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.1%
Leganes
26.6%
Draw
23.2%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Leganes
vs
0.88
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).