Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.3%
Ad. Demirspor
29.8%
Draw
24.9%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Ad. Demirspor
vs
1.21
Yeni Malatyaspor
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
0-1
3.9%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).