Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →88.6%
Monaco
8.6%
Draw
2.8%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
2.98
Monaco
vs
0.39
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS30.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.2%
3-0
15.1%
4-0
11.3%
1-0
10.3%
5-0
6.7%
2-1
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
1-1
3.9%
0-0
3.3%
5-1
2.6%
0-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).