Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Lechia Gdańsk
23.7%
Draw
25.4%
Korona Kielce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Lechia Gdańsk
vs
1.34
Korona Kielce
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
4.6%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
4.1%
0-1
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).