⚽ FootballData
0 – 1
AHT: 00CSV

05 Nov 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
48.5%
Trapani
29.1%
Draw
22.4%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Trapani

vs
0.91

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS46.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).