Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Bury
15.1%
Draw
50.0%
AFC Wulfrunians
Expected Goals (xG)
3.24
Bury
vs
3.76
AFC Wulfrunians
Markets
BTTS93.8%
Over 0.599.9%
Over 1.599.2%
Over 2.597.0%
Over 3.591.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3
4.6%
3-4
4.3%
2-3
4.3%
2-4
4.0%
4-3
3.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-4
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-5
3.2%
2-5
3.0%
4-2
3.0%
4-5
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).