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02 Sept 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.1%
Amiens
24.0%
Draw
40.9%
Grenoble

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Amiens

vs
1.39

Grenoble

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).