Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.6%
FC Koln
17.8%
Draw
12.6%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
FC Koln
vs
1.02
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
4-1
5.0%
4-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
4.0%
1-2
3.8%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).