Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Crawley Town
26.0%
Draw
48.3%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Crawley Town
vs
1.41
Walsall
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).