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04 May 2025 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Standard
31.0%
Draw
38.1%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Standard

vs
1.11

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS42.2%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.0%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).