Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.0%
Gosport Borough
11.4%
Draw
82.7%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Gosport Borough
vs
2.87
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.2%
0-3
11.6%
0-1
8.7%
0-4
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
1-3
7.6%
1-4
5.4%
1-1
5.4%
0-5
4.8%
1-5
3.1%
0-0
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).