Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.9%
Juventus
9.3%
Draw
4.8%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
3.25
Juventus
vs
0.69
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.575.2%
Over 3.555.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
4-0
9.0%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-0
5.9%
1-1
4.3%
5-1
4.1%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).