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04 May 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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81.6%
Zenit
15.1%
Draw
3.2%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

2.29

Zenit

vs
0.32

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS25.3%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
19.3%
1-0
16.2%
3-0
14.7%
4-0
8.4%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.2%
1-1
6.0%
3-1
4.7%
5-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
0-1
1.7%
5-1
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).