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DHT: 12CSV

04 Oct 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.6%
Oldham
27.6%
Draw
33.8%
Scunthorpe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Oldham

vs
1.32

Scunthorpe

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).