Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.9%
Estoril
18.3%
Draw
13.8%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
2.51
Estoril
vs
1.08
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
1-1
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.9%
4-0
4.6%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).