Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Chesterfield
24.4%
Draw
25.9%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Chesterfield
vs
1.04
Accrington
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).