Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Fulham
27.0%
Draw
39.8%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Fulham
vs
1.61
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
0-2
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
1-0
5.3%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).