Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.2%
Lech Poznań
17.8%
Draw
13.0%
Arka Gdynia
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58
Lech Poznań
vs
1.07
Arka Gdynia
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.570.7%
Over 3.549.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.8%
3-0
7.4%
1-0
6.1%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
4-0
4.8%
3-2
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).