Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Holstein Kiel
30.2%
Draw
29.2%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.06
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).