Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.0%
M'gladbach
11.0%
Draw
83.0%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
M'gladbach
vs
3.32
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.579.0%
Over 3.560.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
9.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
8.1%
0-4
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
1-4
6.7%
0-5
5.0%
1-1
4.7%
0-1
4.7%
1-5
4.4%
2-3
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).