Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Newcastle
26.3%
Draw
30.4%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Newcastle
vs
1.42
Brentford
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
0-1
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-2
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).