Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.7%
Palermo
20.1%
Draw
10.2%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
2.16
Palermo
vs
0.72
Avellino
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
1-1
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).