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AHT: 01

12 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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5.7%
Leiston
10.3%
Draw
84.1%
Redbridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Leiston

vs
3.11

Redbridge

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.573.5%
Over 3.553.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
10.9%
0-2
10.5%
0-4
8.5%
1-3
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
6.9%
1-4
6.1%
0-5
5.3%
1-1
4.7%
1-5
3.8%
2-3
2.8%
2-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).