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01 Nov 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Eastleigh
22.7%
Draw
51.2%
Scunthorpe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Eastleigh

vs
2.07

Scunthorpe

Markets

BTTS67.7%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.3%
Over 3.546.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
0-2
6.3%
0-1
5.4%
2-3
4.6%
0-3
4.4%
0-0
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).