Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
Lecce
25.6%
Draw
15.4%
Perugia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Lecce
vs
0.78
Perugia
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
12.2%
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).