Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Ternana
32.6%
Draw
32.6%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Ternana
vs
1.03
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
0-1
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).