Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Braintree Town
24.4%
Draw
35.4%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Braintree Town
vs
1.36
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).