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AHT: 00CSV

16 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.8%
Ebbsfleet
22.1%
Draw
61.1%
Solihull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Ebbsfleet

vs
2.07

Solihull

Markets

BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
0-1
8.7%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.8%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
3.8%
1-4
3.6%
0-4
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).