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04 Dec 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.4%
Weymouth
27.0%
Draw
47.6%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Weymouth

vs
1.59

Torquay

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).