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20 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.2%
Dundee United
27.0%
Draw
20.9%
St Mirren

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Dundee United

vs
0.90

St Mirren

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).