Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.9%
Verona
24.4%
Draw
53.6%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Verona
vs
1.62
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).