Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Stenhousemuir
33.8%
Draw
37.5%
Spartans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Stenhousemuir
vs
1.19
Spartans
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.7%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
10.8%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).