Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.0%
Derby
19.3%
Draw
13.8%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Derby
vs
0.71
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
2-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.5%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).