Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.3%
Schalke 04
16.5%
Draw
74.2%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Schalke 04
vs
2.54
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.3%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.8%
0-4
6.1%
1-4
4.9%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
2-3
3.2%
0-5
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).