Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
CSKA Moskva
26.9%
Draw
29.2%
Dinamo Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
CSKA Moskva
vs
1.30
Dinamo Moskva
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.9%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).