Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.6%
Gil Vicente
19.9%
Draw
14.5%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Gil Vicente
vs
0.78
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.1%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).