Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.5%
Leverkusen
20.4%
Draw
13.0%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Leverkusen
vs
0.86
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.5%
4-0
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).