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AHT: 01

01 Sept 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.4%
Krylya Sovetov
31.5%
Draw
18.1%
Dynamo Makhachkala

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Krylya Sovetov

vs
0.70

Dynamo Makhachkala

Markets

BTTS38.3%
Over 0.585.3%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.532.9%
Over 3.514.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.1%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.7%
2-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).