Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Hull
28.5%
Draw
33.7%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Hull
vs
1.26
Brentford
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).