Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.0%
Manchester City
19.7%
Draw
9.3%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Manchester City
vs
0.73
West Brom
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.0%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).