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AHT: 02CSV

26 Sept 2020 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.8%
Kayserispor
35.9%
Draw
33.3%
Erzurum BB

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Kayserispor

vs
1.12

Erzurum BB

Markets

BTTS47.8%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.8%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).