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20 Oct 2024 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.6%
Górnik Zabrze
25.7%
Draw
21.7%
Stal Mielec

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Górnik Zabrze

vs
1.04

Stal Mielec

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).