Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Stenhousemuir
29.4%
Draw
19.9%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Stenhousemuir
vs
0.93
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).