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04 Aug 2025 · 17:00

Sochi

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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75.5%
Rubin Kazan
16.3%
Draw
8.2%
Sochi

Expected Goals (xG)

2.63

Rubin Kazan

vs
0.80

Sochi

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.566.6%
Over 3.544.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.2%
3-0
9.8%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
5.2%
0-0
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
5-0
3.4%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).