Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.1%
Manchester City
20.5%
Draw
12.3%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Manchester City
vs
0.92
West Ham
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
8.1%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
5.2%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).