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23 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.1%
Waregem
22.5%
Draw
51.4%
Sint-Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Waregem

vs
1.98

Sint-Truiden

Markets

BTTS64.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
4.2%
0-0
3.9%
2-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).